Michael Alexander

Rating: 3 Units

The Seahawks are on a 7-1 SUATS and 8-0 ITS (In The Stats) scorching streak, including a 4-0 SUATS record away this season. Being up on Arizona 35-0 less than halfway through the second quarter was a statement. The Rams, however, are expected to be a different challenge. Currently, the Seahawks hold the division tiebreaker over the Rams with a better conference record (2-1 vs. 1-1) and are 1.5 games ahead of the third-place 49ers, to whom they lost in Week One. For what it’s worth, L.A. is 10-2 ATS when both teams are coming off a win, but 1-6 ATS the last seven as division home chalk, while Seattle is 5-0 ATS as a division road dog. For the most part, what we’ve outlined are the kinds of numbers that Super Bowl teams bring to the table. 

Rating: 2 Units

In this Akron vs Purdue Prediction, Purdue is coming as -19.5 home favorites. Both teams have been undefeated in their three games played this season, with Purdue having a +16 point differential and Akron a +35.6 point differential. Akron has been excellent this season with the 18th-best offense and 69th-best defense and are also the second-best rebounding team in the country. I expect the Zips to keep this one close, so take Akron and the +19.5 points in this one.

Rating: 2 Units

I’m on UMass here. I get the case to be made for Central Connecticut here, but the problem is that Central Connecticut just doesn’t score enough to keep themselves in games and I don’t trust this team to play defense enough to hold down UMass and keep themselves in this one. The Minutemen have looked good in their last couple of games and I think they get the win and cover here. Give me UMass.

Rating: 2 Units

I’m on Oklahoma State in this one. I just think that the Cowboys are heads and shoulders the better team in this game, and the Islanders have just struggled against D-I teams so far this season. Gallagher-Iba can be a tough place to go on the road and compete and I think the Cowboys get the win and cover here. Give me Oklahoma State.

Rating: 2 Units

The Mavericks have won each of their last seven games against the Trail Blazers at American Airlines Center and have covered the spread in each of their last five games against the Trail Blazers following a home loss. While the Trail Blazers have lost each of their last nine Sunday road games and have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games at American Airlines Center following a loss.

Rating: 2 Units

The Kings have won each of their last seven games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record and have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games against the Spurs following a road loss. While the Spurs have lost five of their last six games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents and have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.

Rating: 2 Units

The Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in this series, as well as 6-1 ATS as a favorite against the NFC North. They are also 11-1 ATS in Game Thirteen against non-division foes. We’re still looking for some good Washington trends. When we find them, we’ll let you know.

SNF NFL Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Philadelphia’s secondary is a lockdown unit, allowing the NFL’s third-lowest completion percentage (58.9%) and fourth-lowest opponent QB rating (80.2). At the same time, Lions QB Jared Goff is the epitome of precision (20 TDs, just 3 INTs this season). But if you think that’s impressive, we’ll bet you didn’t know that Eagles’ QB Jalen Hurts has thrown just one interception in nine games— the fewest among qualified QBs. The bottom line is the Lions are simply too dangerous as an underdog. Detroit head coach owns the best spread record of all current NFL head coaches, 58-32-2 ATS in his career, including a perfect 7-0-1 ATS tightener in play this week.

AFC Divisional Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Yes, Denver is on a 7-game winning streak, but the immediate concern is that there were 22 penalties overall in last week’s 10-7 close win over the Raiders. Like we said, when it really counts, we’ll favor the Chiefs over the Broncos, with Andy Reid’s team well-rested and furious. Consider that Reid is 23-5 SU and 17-11 ATS with rest during the regular season, including 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in division games when coming off a loss.

Rating: 3 Units

Head coach Ben Johnson, who, after a slow 0-2 start to his NFL coaching career, has his team fully focused. Riding their best start since 2018, QB Caleb Williams is beginning to perform like the generational talent he was expected to be, leading an explosive offense while throwing for 2,136 yards and 13 touchdowns so far this season. On the Minnesota side, the Vikings sit at 4-5 and have been inconsistent – a big step back from their 14-3 run in 2024. Their turnover differential dropped to –7, ranking among the worst in the league. The Bears this season have converted a remarkable 62.8% of their third-down attempts (as of their nine games), while allowing opponents to convert just 51.6%. With Minnesota 2-6 ATS in its last eight division home games, we look at the fact that .500 or greater NFL division road dogs playing with triple revenge, coming off back-to-back wins, are 20-5-1 ATS.