Michael Alexander

Rating: 2 Units

The Clippers have won each of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents after winning as underdogs. While the Cavaliers have lost each of their last four games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Clippers and have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Western Conference opponents. Additionally, the road team has covered the spread in seven of the Clippers’ last eight games.

Rating: 2 Units

The Raptors have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents following a win and have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Nets. While The Nets have covered the spread in each of their last six road games on the first leg of a back-to-back after winning as underdogs. Additionally, the road team has won four of the last five games between the Nets and Raptors.

Rating: 2 Units

Duke comes into this matchup with an undefeated record to start the season and they are a huge favorite to get this win at home. The Blue Devils are shooting 51% from the field this year and they have scored at least 95 points in four of their last five games. Howard is shooting 46% from the field and they scored just 60 points in their last road game against Stetson.

Rating: 2 Units

I’m on the Racers here. I’ve been truly impressed with what I’ve seen from Murray State up to this point in the year, and while Middle Tennessee is a solid mid-major program in their own right, I think Murray State’s pace and consistency offensively will be too much for Middle Tennessee to handle here. Give me the Racers laying the points here.

Rating: 2 Units

Offensively, Air Force averages 66 points per game, which ranks 339th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 72 points per game (162nd). The Falcons shoot with 44% from the field (245th), and with 34% from beyond the arc (154th). They shoot with 61% from the free throw line (355th), and grab 35 rebounds per game (267th), while dishing out 13 assists per game (255th) and committing 16 turnovers per game (345th).

Rating: 2 Units

Clemson is the better defensive side and that could be key playing a second game in a couple of days. However, I’m not turning down the free bucket with a Georgia team that’s lighting the nets on fire and has a handful of players who can takeover for stretches. Clemson has also failed to cover four straight games and is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games overall. Georgia is more than capable of winning this game outright. I’ll grab the bucket.

Rating: 2 Units

Both of these teams come into this matchup sitting at the bottom of the Pacific standings, but one side will get a much needed win here. The Canucks are 3-6-1 at home this year, while the Flames are 3-9-1 on the road. Calgary is coming off of a win over Buffalo and their low scoring offense will look to jump on a Vancouver defense that has allowed at least four goals in four of their last five. 

Rating: 2 Units

After starting 6-2, Tampa Bay has now slipped twice. They have also won road games at Seattle, Houston, and Atlanta this season. Our primary concern is the Bucs’ 0-6 ITS (In The Stats) run. Still, a 4-0 ATS record against the NFC West, along with the Rams’ 1-6 ATS mark in Game Elevens, leaves us no choice but to take whatever they are offering. Remember, Sunday night NFL road dogs of 6 or more points are 24-17 ATS since 2016, including 19-8 ATS in non-conference games.

Rating: 3 Units

Vrabel inherited a team that was 4-13 in each of the two years before his hire. He’s currently trending as the NFL Coach of the Year. Then there’s the frustrated Bengals, whose star WR Jamar Chase is suspended for this game after spitting on Jalen Ramsey last week. However, the feeling is that Cincinnati, which is 8-1 ATS against opponents coming off a Thursday game, will bring the Pats down to their level. With Joe Burrow expected to be back behind center, we confirm it with the fact that playing on 0-3 SUATS NFL non division home dog in its last three games versus a .750 or greater opponent if the home dog scored 10-plus points in its last game, provided it won 16 or more of their previous 32 home games is 8-0 ATS.

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

The upstart Colts enter as the No. 3 seed in the current AFC Playoff Picture, but they are just 1-5 ATS before hosting a division opponent (the Texans will be in Indianapolis next Sunday). We’re going back to the well with the Chiefs once again this week, especially knowing that NFL teams who are 5-5 or worse and favored versus an opponent with an .800 or greater win percentage are 14-0 SU and 12-0-2 ATS since 1990.

NFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Lions’ QB Jared Goff had a disastrous game, continually missing open receivers, finishing 14-for 37. It was so bad that Bettorday reported no quarterback has completed fewer than 14 passes on 37-plus attempts since 1998. Then there are the Giants, 1-7 ATS in the first of back-to-back road games, and 1-7 ATS away in dome stadiums. A team that comes in mad as hell and ready to spit nails, it’s the Detroit Lions, a team that brings an 11-0-1 ATS record into this match when fighting at home coming off consecutive road games. Now, remember that the Detroit Lions are 13-0 SU and ATS in their last 13 games when coming off a loss.