Frank Sawyer

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR FRIDAY, 4/25:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Friday is with the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points versus the Los Angeles Lakers. Minnesota (50-34) had won four games in a row before their 94-85 loss on the road in Los Angeles against the Lakers on Tuesday. The Timberwolves have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after losing their last game. They have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than 100 points in their last game. Los Angeles (51-33) has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games when playing with two days of rest. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 20 games on the road against teams winning 51-60% of their games. Take Minnesota minus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports is on an 11 of 15 (73%) NBA Totals Game of the Month/Year run even after losing the Oklahoma City/Memphis Over last night! Frank is still on an 11 of 17 (65%) NBA run with featured 25*/20*/10* plays (4-1 in these playoffs) — and he is also on a 70 of 115 (61%) NBA TOTALS TEAR with featured plays! Now Frank furthers his 10 of 14 (71%) NBA Game of the Month/Year run with his 25* NBA Central Division Total of the Month for the Indiana-Milwaukee O/U winner on NBA TV/ESPNU at 8:05 PM ET! DO NOT MISS OUT!

At 8:05 p.m. ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (555) and the Milwaukee Bucks (556) in Game Three of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Indiana (52-32) has won nine of their last ten games after a 123-115 victory at home against the Bucks as a 4-point favorite on Tuesday. Milwaukee (49-36) had won eight games in a row before falling behind 0-2 in this series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Pacers shot 50.6% from the field on Tuesday to take the second game of this series. Indiana has played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing for the second time in five days. Now they go on the road where they have played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total as an underdog. They have also played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total as an underdog from 3.5 to 9.5 points — and they have played 8 of their last 12 road games Over the Total as an underdog in that range. Additionally, the Pacers have played 13 of their last 17 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Milwaukee got Damian Lillard back on the court after he was out for a lengthy period of time with an injury — but he only converted 4 of 13 shots from the field and just 2 of his 8 shots from behind the arc en route to 14 points. He should play better tonight now that he has knocked some of the rust off. The Bucks have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. As it is, they are nailing 50.1% of their shots in their last five games which is resulting in 122.8 Points-Per-Game. But they are also letting their last five opponents make 48.0% of their shots which is resulting in 120.6 PPG. Milwaukee has played 13 of their last 18 games at home Over the Total — and they have played 22 of their last 32 home games Over the Total when favored. They have also played  21 of their last 21 games Over the Total when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points including 14 of those 19 games played at home. They have played 10 of their last 13 home games Over the Total when favored by six points or less. And in their last 5 home games against teams winning 60-70% of their games, they have played 4 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Bucks have played 15 of their last 23 opportunities for revenge Over the Total. 25* NBA Central Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (555) and the Milwaukee Bucks (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.