Frank Sawyer

At 9:45 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Arizona Diamondbacks (980) versus the Tampa Bay Rays (979) listing both starting pitchers Eduardo Rodriguez and Taj Bradley. THE SITUATION: Arizona (14-9) has won two straight games as well as seven of their last nine contests after their 5-1 victory in the opening game of this series. Tampa Bay (9-14) has lost two games in a row as well as six of their last seven contests.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DIAMONDBACKS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Arizona has won 7 of their 11 games at home this season — and they have won 6 of their last 7 home games with the Total set at 9 or 9.5. They have also won 4 of their last 5 games at home against teams with a losing record. Rodriguez gets the ball tonight after posting a 1-2 record with a 4.09 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP in his first four starts. The deeper sabermetrics indicate he has deserved better as both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 2.81 and 2.46 moving forward. Tampa Bay has lost 5 of their last 7 games after losing two or more games in a row. They have also lost 4 straight games on the road after a loss in their last game. The Rays are winless in their four games on the road so far this season — and they have lost 12 of their last 18 games on the road in April. They counter with Bradley who has a 2-1 record despite a 5.24 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP in four starts. Last season, the right-hander was more effective at home where he enjoyed a 3.89 ERA along with a 1.16 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .219 in 13 starts — but in his 12 starts on the road, he was saddled with a 4.34 ERA along with a 1.30 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .252. The Rays have lost 6 of their last 7 games as an underdog priced up to +150. They have also lost 9 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record including all four of those games at home this year. And in their last 16 road games against teams using a left-handed starting pitcher, Tampa Bay has lost 10 of those games.

FINAL TAKE: Arizona has won 12 of their last 17 games against teams using a right-handed starting pitcher including six of those seven games at home. The Diamondbacks lead MLB in weighted On-Base Average when playing at home against right-handed pitchers — and then rank second in the league in weighted Runs Created at home against right-handed pitchers. 8* MLB Wednesday Night Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Arizona Diamondbacks (980) versus the Tampa Bay Rays (979) listing both starting pitchers Eduardo Rodriguez and Taj Bradley. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:45 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the San Francisco Giants (960) versus the Milwaukee Brewers (959) listing both starting pitchers Logan Webb and Freddy Peralta. THE SITUATION: San Francisco (15-9) has lost two of their last three games after their 5-4 loss in Los Angeles against the Angels on Tuesday. Milwaukee (13-11) has won two of their last three games after their 14-1 victory against the Athletics last night.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GIANTS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: San Francisco has won 6 of their last 8 games after a loss this season. They have also won 4 of their last 5 home games after allowing ten or more runs going back to last season. After playing their last ten games on the road, they return home where they are hitting .264 with a .325 On-Base Percentage and a .736 OPS. The Giants have won 10 of their last 13 games when priced as a money-line favorite up to -150 including five of those seven games played at home. They have also won 5 of their last 7 games against teams winning 54-62% of their games. Webb gets the ball tonight after a great outing (albeit in a losing effort) when he gave up only one earned run (two runs overall) in six innings of work against the Angels. He struck out 12 batters and did not issue a walk in that effort. After failing to register double-digit strikeouts in any start last year, he has already done that twice this season. He has 38 punchouts in his 30 innings of work. Overall, he has a 2.40 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in five starts. The deeper sabermetrics are bullish as both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 2.28 and 1.92 moving forward. This is just his second start at home this year after pitching seven scoreless innings in his previous start at home at Oracle Park. In his 15 starts at home last season, he enjoyed a 2.83 ERA along with a 1.03 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .234 as opposed to his 4.11 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, and .280 opponent’s batting average in 18 starts on the road. He faces a Brewers team that is hitting only .236 against right-handed pitchers along with a .309 on-base percentage and an OPS of .704. Milwaukee has lost 6 of their last 8 road games against National League teams using a starting pitcher with an ERA no higher than .320. The Brewers send out Peralta who has a 2-1 record with a 1.91 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in five starts.   The right-hander is pitching better so far this season after making some mechanical adjustments to his delivery in the offseason. But the deeper sabermetrics still call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.26 and 3.50 moving forward. And while he sports a 0.69 ERA along with a 0.77 WHIP in two starts at home, those numbers rise to a 2.93 ERA along with a 1.24 WHIP in his three starts on the road this season. Milwaukee has lost 7 of their 9 games this season when priced as an underdog up to +150 — and six of those seven losses were on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Giants have a .330 on-base percentage and a .765 OPS against right-handed pitchers this season — and they have won 13 of their 15 games against teams using a right-handed starting pitcher this season including five of those six games played at home. 10* MLB Super Under-Valued Favorite with the money-line on the money-line on the San Francisco Giants (960) versus the Milwaukee Brewers (959) listing both starting pitchers Logan Webb and Freddy Peralta. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (56) versus the Dallas Stars (55) in Game Three of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Colorado (50-29-5) had won two games in a row before their 4-3 loss in overtime to the Stars on Monday. Dallas (51-27-6) snapped an eight-game losing streak before the victory.

REASONS TO TAKE THE AVALANCHE WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Colorado should bounce back tonight as they have won 22 of their last 33 games following a loss in their last game. They have also won 7 of their last 9 games after losing on the road to a fellow Central Division rival including five of those six games played at home. They have won 7 of their last 9 home games after losing on the road in their last game. The Avalanche return home where they have won 16 of their last 23 games. Mackenzie Blackwood should play better tonight after surrendering four goals on the 39 shots he faced on Monday. He has a 2.55 Goals-Against-Average and a .912 save percentage this season. He battles the Stars’ Jake Oettinger who has a 2.58 GAA and a .909 save percentage this season. But while Oettinger enjoys a 2.14 GAA and a .920 save percentage in his 32 starts at home, those numbers rise to a 3.16 GAA and a .896 save percentage in 26 starts on the road. Dallas has lost 5 of their last 8 games on the road as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: The Stars have lost 12 of their last 18 games on the road against teams with a winning record — and the Avalanche have won 14 of their last 21 home games against teams with a losing record. 8* NHL Wednesday Late Show Bailout with the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (56) versus the Dallas Stars (55). Best of luck for us — Frank.