Frank Sawyer

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR MONDAY, 3/31:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Monday is with the Brooklyn Nets plus the points versus the Dallas Mavericks, Brooklyn (24-51) snapped a six-game losing streak with a 115-112 upset victory at Washington as a 2-point underdog on Saturday. The Nets have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on the road after an upset win in their last game. They have also covered the point spread in 24 of their 39 games on the road this season. Dallas (37-38) has won four of their last five games after their 120-119 upset win at Chicago as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday. The Mavericks have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a win on the road. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 home games when laying 6.5 to 12 points. Take Brooklyn plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports’ WINNING 3-1 Sunday was headlined by CA$HING their 36-1 ticket on Min Woo Lee to win the PGA Houston Open and DELIVERING their 25* CBB Elite Eight Total of the Year with the Tennessee-Houston Under to further a 21 of 35 (60%) All-Sports run with featured 25*/20*/10* plays! Now Frank furthers his 63 of 103 (61%) NBA TOTALS TEAR with featured plays with his 25* NBA Total of the Month for Monday night! DO NOT MISS OUT!

At 7:40 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Boston Celtics (509) minus the points versus the Memphis Grizzlies (510). THE SITUATION: Boston (55-19) has won eight games in a row — as well as 13 of their last 14 contests — after their 121-111 victory at San Antonio as a 12.5-point favorite on Saturday. Memphis (44-30) has lost twice in a row and five of their last six contests after their 134-127 upset loss against the Los Angeles Lakers as a 2-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CELTICS MINUS THE POINTS: Boston has amped up their intensity as they prepare for the postseason. Since the All-Star Break, they lead the NBA in Adjusted Net Efficiency. They lead the league in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency since the break — and they have risen to rank fifth in the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency since the All-Star Game. They may play better on the road where they have a 31-7 record with an average winning margin of +11.2 Points-Per-Game. The Celtics finish out their six-game road trip tonight having covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games on the road. They have also covered the point spread in 18 of their last 30 games when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points. Memphis is in a big funk having lost 18 of their last 25 games. Since the All-Star Break, they rank just 18th in Adjusted Net Efficiency. They are only 17th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency since then — and they are 21st in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. This team also ranks just 14th in the league in efficiency on offense in the half-court — and that spells trouble against the Celtics half-court defense. The Grizzlies stay at home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games. They have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 home games as an underdog of up to six points or as a pick ‘em. Furthermore, Memphis is just 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home against teams who are winning 70% or more of their games.

FINAL TAKE: The Celtics want to avenge a 127-121 upset loss at home against the Grizzlies as a 7-point favorite on December 7th — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games when playing with revenge including six of of those nine games played on the road. 8* NBA Boston-Memphis ESPN Special with the Boston Celtics (509) minus the points versus the Memphis Grizzlies (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (511) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (512). THE SITUATION: Chicago (33-41) saw their four-game winning streak snapped in a 120-119 upset loss at home against Dallas as a 2.5-point favorite on Saturday. Oklahoma City (62-13) has won nine games in a row after their 132-111 victory against Indiana as a 9-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bulls held the Mavericks to 46.5% shooting which is just below their 46.7% opponent’s field goal percentage for the season — but it was also the best defensive effort in that metric in their last five games. They rank 24th in the NBA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Chicago is making 50.9% of their shots in their last five games which is resulting in 128.2 Points-Per-Game — that is +10.8 PPG above their season average. They rank fourth in the NBA in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency in those last five contests. The Bulls have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total on the road — and they have also played 19 of their 31 games on the road this season Over the Total. Additionally, they have played 10 of their last 14 games on the road Over the Total against teams from the Western Conference. Oklahoma City has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a win at home by 20 or more points. They are making 48.7% of their shots at home which is resulting in 122.6 PPG. In their last five games, they are nailing 50.0% of their shots which is resulting in 124.4 PPG. Overall this season, they rank fourth in the league in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The Thunder have played 9 of their last 12 games at home Over the Total with the Total set at 230 or higher. They have also played 9 of their last 13 home games Over the Total against teams from the Western Conference. Furthermore, they have played 13 of their last 21 games at home Over the Total when favored by double-digits.

FINAL TAKE: Oklahoma City won the last meeting between these two teams on October 26th by a 114-94 score on October 26th. The Bulls have played 12 of their last 19 games on the road Over the Total when playing with revenge. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (511) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.