Alex Smart
Alex Smart
Testing 72-32 69% NBA Totals run that has made my dime players more than $35000 in bankroll expanding profits-plus 36-10 77% CFB side run that has made my dime players more than $25000 + CBB $59000.00 Totals run!
PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
Basketball Totals (+12434) 1262-1038 L2300 55%
NBA Totals (+8101) 632-506 L1138 56%
All Sports Totals (+7424) 435-328 L763 57%
NCAA-B Totals (+5369) 221-152 L373 59%
NCAA-F Picks (+3488) 1145-1011 L2156 53%
NHL Money Lines (+3355) 116-74 L190 61%
MLB Money Lines (+2436) 1072-997 L2069 52%
Football Sides (+2058) 59-35 L94 63%
WNBA Picks (+947) 39-27 L66 59%
NFLX Sides (+431) 14-9 L23 61%
Fighting Picks (+345) 5-2 L7 71%
Short-Term Subscription Options
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*This subscription currently includes 5 NFL picks but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
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*This subscription currently includes 5 NFL picks but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
Long-Term Subscription Options
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*This subscription currently includes 5 NFL picks but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
**4x Top 10 CBB handicapper!**
Now on a 49-34 run with my last 83 CBB picks! $1,000/game players have cashed in $46,340 on my CBB picks since 12/17/23 and $44,340 on my CBB picks since 12/17/23!
This subscription includes EVERY CBB PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the NCAA Tournament! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!
No picks available.
**6x Top 10 NBA handicapper!**
#11 ranked NBA handicapper this season!
Now on a 44-32 run with my last 77 NBA picks! $1,000/game players have cashed in $35,680 on my NBA picks since 12/25/23 and $72,910 on my NBA picks since 12/13/16!
This subscription includes EVERY NBA PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the NBA Finals! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
| Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulane vs Florida | Florida -10 -115 | Premium | 8-33 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Appalachian State vs North Texas | OVER 123 -110 | Premium | 64-68 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Rider vs Pennsylvania | OVER 132½ -110 | Premium | 66-79 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Indiana vs Notre Dame | Indiana +7 -105 | Premium | 17-27 | Loss | -105 | Show |
| Ohio vs Jacksonville State | Ohio -6 -110 | Premium | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | Show |
PICKS IN PROGRESS
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Oregon already has three Quadrant 1-A victories and two Quadrant 2 and Stanford still has not been tested ranking 316 in strength of schedule. Im on the lines-maker side of this battle, and leaning heavily on laying the lumber in this neutral court game in San Jose.
Play on Oregon to cover
The Jazz pulled of an upset vs Detroit last time out, but it must be noted that the Jazz have lost each of their last six games after winning as underdogs.The home team in this series between Brooklyn and Utah has won seven of the last eight games .It must also be noted that the Nets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents.Finally the Jazz have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four night games following a road win. Also key to me backing the Nets is the SRS differential which is substantial.
Brooklyn ranks 20th -3.05 in SRS in the NBA while, Utah ranks 28th with a -8.26 rating.
SRS: Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.
Play on the Nets to cover
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
I know there are alot of trends that support Dabo and company, but what stands out to me is the way SMU moved the ball against them in the 2nd half last time out, and the way Georgia stepped all over Clemson earlier this season. Texas showed they are every bit as good as Georgia in a heart breaking loss to them late in the season, and with that said Im Im betting the Longhorns superior overall talent will prevail in a big way here today much like Georgia operated against Clemson in a DD beatdown. CFB Road underdogs of +315 or higher vs. the money line - with a good offense - averaging 5.8 or more yards/play, after being out-gained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game are 1-29 since 2020 with the average ppg diff clicking in at -17.7. Note: Steve Sarkisian in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 is a perfect 6-0 ATS with the average ppg diff clicking in at +32.
Play on Texas to cover
Penn States D held opponents to season-low yardage five times this season, and here against an explosive SMU offense that is an important factor. Penn State’s defense is 8th in scoring defense allowing just 16.4 ppg and 6th in yards allowed/game at 282.1. Big Ten teams are 12-2 SU and 11-3 ATS vs. ACC in bowl games and are 11-1 ITS this season, including 7-1 vs teams in Bowl tilts. James Franklin after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game is 12-2 ATS L/14 with the average ppg diff clicking in at +16.9. SMU is 0-4 SUATS last four bowl games and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today vs Penn State.
Penn State to cover
When the Steelers are a underdog of 4 pts or more they are 8-0 ATS in franchise history vs the Ravens. Ravens QB Lamar Jackson has also not faired well vs the Steel City Destroyers recording a 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS record vs. Mike Tomlin and Steelers in his career. Rinse and repeat situation on board this Saturday.
NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 6-30 ATS 2015 season. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points - with an incredible offense - averaging 6.0 or more yards/play, after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game are 9-36 ATS since 2020.
Steelers to cover
SERVICE BIO
Experience & Awards
I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years.
My picks have been documented for 22 years.
I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.
I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years.
I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis.
Handicapping Approach
I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.
My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.
Sports Betting Is An Investment
Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures.
Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.
I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.
In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.
I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!
This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!
Money Management
To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.
If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets.
This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.
Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.
1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.
2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.
3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.
4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.
5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.
6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.
These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.
I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.
*All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit).
