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Tuesday, October 29, 2024
Dave Price
Dave's Tuesday Free Play:
1* on Dodgers/Yankees OVER 8.5
The Key: I'm expecting the highest scoring game of the series in Game 4 tonight. The Yankees and Dodgers have been held in check as both teams have not done well with runners in scoring position. That should change tonight. The Yankees will be going with rookie Luis Gil who isn't ready for this spot. The Dodgers will be making this a bullpen game and their bullpen has already gotten a lot of use in this series. The Dodgers are scoring 5.3 RPG this year while the Yankees are scoring 5.0 RPG. This total of 8.5 is too low for Game 4. Take the OVER.
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John Ryan
Dodgers vs Yankees
8:08 ET | Yankee Stadium | Game 4
3-Unit Bet on the Dodgers priced as a 120-underdog.
(Repeat info prior to the start of the WS) like the Dodgers priced at –125 to win the World Series. For a pizza money size bet of 1 unit bet the Dodgers to win the series in six games priced at +380. I also like a 1-unit bet that there will be a run scored in the first inning. Also, consider betting Tommy Edman to win the WS MVP priced at +3500. Always shop for the best price as I believe you will see +400 between now and the first pitch Friday night.
The Dodgers offense is complete from top to bottom, and they put pressure on the Mets constantly. They had an insane 79 at bats in a six-game series with RISP and batted 22-for-76 (0.306) and without Freeman's bat as he was playing with an injured ankle. Getting him this rest will no doubt make him more like the Freeman we know and combined with what the lineup achieved without him will be the difference in this series.
(Current content for Game 4)
The Dodgers are 27 outs away from winning the World Series and have a commanding 3 games to none lead. There have been 21 sweeps in the WS with the last one occurring in 2012 when the SF Giants swept the Detroit Tigers. In a twist of fate, the only other time the Dodgers won the WS in a sweep was in 1963 over the New York Yankees.
There is a slight haze hanging over this series as the Yankees find themselves in the same position the Red Sox found themselves in their 0-3 come from behind series win in the 2004 ALCS. The Red Sox lost the the first two games in the Bronx, then lost the first game at home. They found a way to win games 4 and 5 and returned home to win game 6 to force the deciding game 7 in the Bronx. The series format was 2-2-1-1-1 backin2004andisnowa2-3-2format,whichdoesmakeitmuchmoredifficultfortheYankeestowingames6and7inDodgerStadium.
The Yankees have been swept three times in franchise history starting in the 1922 World Series by the NY Giants, then in the 1963 series by the Dodgers and then most recent in 1976 by the Big Red Machine Cincinnati Reds. The Yankees have swept opponents in the WS eight times and no one else is close.
Recently, road teams up 3-0 in the series are on a 4-1-win streak averaging a 112-uderdog bet and a highly profitable 64% ROI since 2004. The Dodgers are 13-2 in road games and facing a starter with an ERA of 3.75 or lower spanning the past two seasons. Shockingly, the Yankees are just 8-16 in an inter-league matchup this season. The Yankees are 1-6 when facing a high-power offense averaging 1.25 or more home runs per game in the second half of this season. The Yankees are 0-6 when facing a high-octane offense averaging 5 or more RPG in the second half fo this season.
Live Betting Strategy: Consider betting 6 units preflop on the Dodgers and then if the Yankees score first add the remaining two units on the Dodgers during the first four innings of action.
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