NFL Week 3: Bucs vs. Broncos Betting Picks

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5

The Tampa Bay Bucs are only going to continue to get better as the season goes along. Now with two games under their belts, Tom Brady and company should be hitting on all cylinders in Week 3 against the hapless Denver Broncos.

The Bucs have remained one of the healthiest teams in the NFL. They will get Chris Godwin back from a concussion this week to give Brady his full compliment of receivers. And the Bucs should torch a Broncos defense that is banged up and giving up 393.5 yards per game through two games against the Titans and Steelers.

Speaking of banged up, the Broncos also have a plethora of injuries on offense. Jeff Driskel will get the start this week after Drew Lock was knocked out with a shoulder injury last week. The Broncos made Lock their QB of the future, so this is a bigger loss than is being factored into the line. Not to mention, Driskel won’t have his best receiver in Courtland Sutton, who returned from injury last week only to suffer a torn ACL.

Tampa Bay does have a fast, underrated defense that gets overlooked because of all the weapons they have on offense. They held the Saints to just 271 total yards in Week 1 in a game that was much closer than the 23-34 final score would indicate. And last week they forced four Carolina Panthers turnovers to aid their 31-17 victory.

The Buccaneers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. a team with a losing record. The Broncos are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight September games. Denver is 8-23-1 ATS in its last 32 games after allowing more than 350 yards in its previous game. Bet the Buccaneers Sunday.

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Tampa Bay at Denver 4:25 ET

Broncos (+) over Buccaneers- There is something I really don’t understand about this game. Here is Denver 0-2 having lost their quarterback, wide receiver, their best defensive player and five other starters only a 5.5-point underdog to Tampa Bay and Tom Brady. The Broncos will have Jeff Driscoll calling the plays and he has never shown to be a star and this may be his chance to impress those of ‘us’ that believe he can be no more than a journeyman. Denver is 6-1 ATS after a straight-up loss and 4-1 ATS as home dogs. Take the BRONCOS!

The set-up: The Bucs cruised to a 31-17 win over Carolina last weekend and I think they’ll find a way to get the job done here as well in Denver. The Broncos have covered both their games, but come in 0-2. Tampa Bay got a huge contribution from RB Leonard Fournette last weekend and I think that the home side will have difficulties in slowing down this dangerous Tampa offense.

The pick: Drew Lock went out with injury for Denver last weekend and backup Jeff Driskel was decent by throwing for 256 yards and two TD’s. Driskell did well against the suspect Steelers, but I believe he’ll have his hands full here with this loaded Bucs team.

This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the BUCS.

Denver is 0-2 and have suffered a lot of injuries to some key players. Last week that included their starting QB in Lock and WR Sutton who was lost for the year. They already have some defensive injuries as well losing Von Miller for the year before the season started. While those are concerns I do like what Driskell did last week keeping them in the ball @ Pitt. Essentially Denver has done nothing wrong in the eyes of the odds makers since they have covered both games.

Tampa quite frankly hasn’t proven anything worth noting to be laying such a crazy price on the road here. Last week that was extremely misleading as they won the turnover battle 4-2 but the spread didn’t come into play until they housed a 50 yard TD run when the game was over making it seem worse than what it was. Brady hasn’t done anything special with the offense barely throwing for over 200 yards in both games. Broncos and the points here are the right side

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