A short MLB card with just 7 games on deck for Monday, but there’s still plenty of betting value to be found.
Below is top free MLB baseball plays and analysis for Monday, May 13th, 2019 from our expert handicappers.
Click on a handicapper’s name for more top rated plays, subscriptions, season packages and handicapping records.
John Martin
Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers
Monday, May 13 ’19, 7:10 PM ET
With the Tigers having the advantage on the mound today with Matt Boyd over Brad Peacock, I’ll take a shot with them as big home underdogs to the Houston Astros.
Boyd is 4-2 with a 2.86 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 3-0 with a 2.42 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in four home stats.
Peacock is 2-2 with a 4.59 ERA in six starts for the Astros, including 1-1 with a 6.96 ERA in two road starts.
Boyd is 8-0 in his last eight home starts against teams that average 0.5 or fewer stolen bases per game. Boyd is 7-0 in his last seven home starts as a dog of +125 to +175. Detroit is 14-3 in Boyd’s last 17 home starts overall. Give me the Tigers.
Pick: Tigers (+143) at 5Dimes
Ben Burns
LA Angels @ Minnesota Twins
Monday, May 13 ’19, 7:40 PM ET
Berrios is off another gem. He tossed seven shutout innings, en route to a 3-0 win at Toronto. That gives him a 1.80 ERA his last three starts. He’s undefeated in four home starts and has a superb 1.98 ERA and 0.80 WHIP here.
On the other hand, Skaggs got rocked last time out. Through five innings, he gave up seven earned runs, eight runs overall. He now has an ugly 6.38 ERA in four road starts.
While the Angels are 8-12 on the road, the Twins are 13-7 at home. Given the current form of the starters and the venue, this line could easily be higher. Consider Minnesota.
Pick: Twins (-128) at GTBets
Jack Jones
Cleveland Indians @ Chicago White Sox
Monday, May 13 ’19, 8:10 PM ET
We just saw this matchup five days ago with Shane Bieber against Reynaldo Lopez. Bieber and the Indians won that matchup as -185 home favorites. Now we only have to lay -150 with the Indians on the road in the rematch.
This matchup is still in the Indians’ favor, and it’s not really even close. Bieber is 2-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.065 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA and 0.947 WHIP in three road starts. He is also 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.947 WHIP in three career starts against Chicago.
Lopez has been awful this season, going 2-4 with a 6.38 ERA and 1.748 WHIP in eight starts, including 2-2 with a 7.18 ERA and 1.785 WHIP in five road starts. Lopez has never beaten the Indians, going 0-3 (0-4 money line) with a 7.11 ERA and 1.947 WHIP in four career starts against them.
The Indians are 8-1 in Bieber’s last nine road starts. The White Sox are 45-102 in their last 147 vs. a team with a winning record.
Chicago is 4-12 in Lopez’s last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Cleveland is 26-10 in the last 36 meetings. Bet the Indians Monday.
Pick: Indians (-150) at GTBets
Dave Price
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Monday, May 13 ’19, 9:40 PM ET
The Arizona Diamondbacks come in hungry for a victory after dropping 3 straight. The Pittsburgh Pirates are in letdown mode after taking 3 straight from the Cardinals over the weekend on the road all as underdogs.
Big advantage on the mound for the Diamondbacks here. Robbie Ray is 2-1 with a 3.30 ERA in 8 starts this year with 55 strikeouts in 43 2/3 innings. Ray pitched a complete game shutout in a 3-0 victory over the Pirates in his last start against them.
Nick Kingham will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Pirates. Pittsburgh is 1-5 in Kingham’s last six starts.
Arizona is 12-3 in its last 15 against a team with a winning record. The Diamondbacks are 19-4 in Ray’s last 23 starts after he allowed one earned run or fewer in his last start. Take Arizona on the Run Line.
Pick: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+120) at Mirage
Rob Vinciletti
Oakland A’s @ Seattle Mariners
Monday, May 13 ’19, 10:10 PM ET
Seattle has won 11 of 14 vs losing teams and 4 of 5 at home off a road loss. Oakland is 1-7 as a road dog and 1-9 on the road off a home game.
Home favorites off a road dog loss by 5+ runs that scored 2 or less runs have won 75% of the time vs a team off a home favored loss by 2 or more runs since 2004.
Fiers for Oakland has a 9+ road Era and Kikuchi for Seattle has a 1.15 Era in his last 3 starts.
Pick: Mariners (-125) at Pinnacle
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