John Ryan

Rangers vs Flames 
8-Unit bet on the Rangers priced as –150 money line favorites. 

The following NHL betting algorithm has produced a 114-60 SU record for 65.5% winning bets averaging a –130-wager resulting in a 21% ROI and a $40,480 profit for the $1,000 per game bettor and a $2,025 profit for the $50 per game bettor since 2018. The requirements are: 

Bet on winning record road favorites. 

The opponent has a winning record. 

The opponent is coming off a home win. 

If our favorite is priced between a –150 and –195-favorite, these teams have gone 27-8 SU for 77% winners averaging a 35% ROI and a $15,800 profit for the Dime Bettor and a $780 profit for the $50 per game bettor. 

Pistons vs Hornets 
8-Unit bet on the Pistons priced as a 1.5-point favorite. 
I prefer the money line bet. 

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 36-38 SU and 50-23-1 ATS result for 68.5% winning bets since the start of the 2016 season. The requirements are:  

Bet road teams avenging a same-season loss.  

The road team is coming off a double-digit loss at home.  

The Detroit Pistons (7-9) are set to face off against the Charlotte Hornets (5-9) at Spectrum Center on Thursday, November 21, 2024, at 7:00 PM ET. This matchup promises to be an exciting clash between two teams striving to improve their standings in the Eastern Conference. 

Team Statistics 

Detroit Pistons: The Pistons are averaging 112.7 points per game, 49.5 rebounds, 26.8 assists, 6.0 steals, and 5.5 blocks per game. They have been shooting 46.1% from the field and 37.1% from beyond the arc. 

Charlotte Hornets: The Hornets are averaging 109.1 points per game, 47.5 rebounds, 23.5 assists, 7.8 steals, and 4.5 blocks per game. They have been shooting 42.4% from the field and 36.2% from three-point range. 

Star Player Performance 

Cade Cunningham (Pistons): Cunningham has been a standout performer for the Pistons, averaging 23.3 points, 7.3 rebounds, and 8.8 assists per game. He has been shooting 44.6% from the field and 37.1% from three-point range. 

LaMelo Ball (Hornets): Ball has been leading the Hornets with an impressive average of 28.4 points and 6.6 assists per game. He has been shooting 42.6% from the field and 36.2% from beyond the arc. 

Recent Form 

Detroit Pistons: The Pistons have had a mixed season so far, with a record of 6-4 in their last 10 games. They are looking to build on their recent performances and secure a win against the Hornets. 

Charlotte Hornets: The Hornets have struggled recently, with a record of 3-7 in their last 10 games. They are hoping to turn things around at home and get back to winning ways. 

From the predictive model: The mode is projecting that the Pistons will have the better assist-to-turnover ratio and will shoot at least 47% from the field. In past games in which the Pistons met or exceeded these performance measures has seen them produce an 18-10 SU (64.3%) and 23-5 ATS for 82% winning bets since 2021. When the Pistons were on the road, they went 11-5 SU and 13-3 ASTS for 81.2% winning bets.  

Date: Thursday, November 21, 2024  
Time: 8:15 PM ET  
Venue: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland, Ohio  
Broadcast: Amazon Prime Video  
Bet grades and recommendations: 8-Unit bet on the Under currently priced at 36.5 points and a 5-Unit bet on the Browns priced as 3.5-point underdogs. 

Since this is a prime-time game and the only one to watch it gives us a great Live betting opportunity. My plan and my suggestion are to bet 70% preflop at 36.5 points and then look for the game flow to be faster than expected (on the scoreboard) and add the remaining 30% amount at 41.5 or more points during the first half of action only. Any bets made int he second half have a limited time to be winning bets, and I do not recommend them often. It’s like purchasing a call option on Nvidia that has an expiration date of December 6. The value of the option will decay as the expiration date approaches unless there is a move that matches our expectations.  

The Steelers cashed my preseason wins total ticket when they defeated their divisional rival Ravens Sunday. I have stated countless times over many years that Mike Tomlin is the most unappreciated and best head coach in the NFL. He has never had a losing season and continues to field teams that appear to have limited talent and depth, and this season may be the best coaching job of his career. 

Defense. Defense. Defense. The Steelers defense has become an elite unit that has given opponents their season-lows in points and total yards gained. In fact, the Chargers, Broncos, and the top offense in the NFL, the Ravens, were held to season lows in points scored. They rank third in defensive points per play at 0.2888 and any ratio at 0.30 or lower is elite. Generally, three or fewer teams finish a season under 0.3 points per play allowed and the Steelers unit will be one of this season. 

NFL Betting Algorithm 

The following NFL betting algorithm has gone  good for 73% winning bets over the past 5 seasons not including the COVID-19 season. The requirements are: 

Bet the Under in a game where one of the teams (Steelers) has won 60% or more of their games. 

Their next game is on the road facing a divisional foe. 

The game takes place in a prime-time slot. 

    The Under has gone 16-9 for 64% winning bets in divisional games where a team has 6 or more losses than the foe, the foe is coming off a divisional win, and that foe has an elite defense allowing fewer than 17 PPG.  

    The following NFL betting algorithm that supports a 5-Unit bet on the Browns has gone 28-38 SU and 46-18-2 ATS good for 72% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on home underdogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points.  

The dog scored 14 or fewer points in their previous game.  

The dog is outscored by an average of 5 or more points in the first half.  

If our dog is outscored by 7 or more points in the first half of action, they have gone 18-25 SU and 32-9-2 ATS for 78% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. 

    The following NFL betting algorithm has gone 60-39-2 Under good for 61% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet the under if it is priced below 44 points. 

The home team is coming off a horrid loss by 21 or more points. 

The game occurs from week 9 on out to the end of the season. 

What's at Stake 

The Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2) are looking to extend their five-game winning streak and solidify their position atop the AFC North. Meanwhile, the Cleveland Browns (2-8) are aiming to rebound from a tough loss and avoid falling further behind in the division. With the Browns' head coach Kevin Stefanski and GM Andrew Berry potentially fighting to save their jobs, this game is crucial for Cleveland. 

History of the Matchup 

The Browns and Steelers have a storied rivalry known as the "Turnpike Rivalry," named after the Pennsylvania Turnpike that connects the two cities. The Steelers have historically had the upper hand, but the Browns have been competitive in recent years, boasting a 3-1 record against Pittsburgh in their last four meetings at home. 

Team Statistics 

Cleveland Browns: 

Offense: 16.2 points per game (31st in NFL) 

Defense: 23.3 points allowed per game (20th in NFL) 

Rushing: 90.8 yards allowed per game (4th in NFL) 

Passing:214.5 yards allowed per game (18th in NFL) 

Pittsburgh Steelers: 

Offense: 23.3 points per game (18th in NFL) 

Defense: 16.2 points allowed per game (2nd in NFL) 

Rushing:136.7 yards per game (8th in NFL) 

Passing:187.3 yards per game (28th in NFL) 

Stars and Their Stats 

Cleveland Browns: 

Jameis Winston (QB): 1,047 passing yards, 7 TDs, 3 INTs, 61.4% completion rate 

Jerry Jeudy (WR): 39 receptions, 560 yards, 2 TDs 

Myles Garrett (DE): 23 tackles, 10 TFL, 7 sacks 

Pittsburgh Steelers: 

Russell Wilson (QB): 942 passing yards, 6 TDs, 2 INTs, 60.3% completion rate 

Najee Harris (RB): 175 carries, 708 yards, 3 TDs, 21 receptions, 182 yards 

T.J. Watt (DE): 36 tackles, 12 TFL, 7.5 sacks